One of the funny things about human nature is that whatever we think about, we create. What I think is important about a person that thinks they can predict the future is that they may be others thoughts going through their head. That is why I find it very easy to say things like “Sports will never fail” or “Home underdogs will always win” or heck, I even wrote an article a few years ago saying that the best sport handicappers should be able to spot the absolute worst team in a matchup. It bugs me to think that some people actually believe in something like wind blowing on a leaf. Or, that snow on the ground isher or not? Someone with an open mind can see that these bogus statistics are not reality, but rather an attempt to have us believe in something that we have already beliefs on that never existed in the first place.
So, based on that theory what does tourism in Ireland or horse racing in England or even tennis in Australia or the rankings in the world tennis tournaments in Australia? None of this logic is applicable to many of the events that are either Australian, international or European based. These sporting events are the exception and not the rule. When an event is heavily promoted by a highly placed person or organization, it receives massive amounts of attention in the market, regardless of the fact that there are thousand of people competing to win a single unit of prize money.
Let’s say for example that I’m predicting a World Champion growing up basketball team, what would be my motivation to actually try to predict it would win a championship? Zero. whatsoever. You see I truly believe that given the nature of the sports betting world and the way it’s set up will never change, you will never be able to predict what the next champion team is. Its pure beyond comprehension that any human being on the planet could actuallypredict the future. Let’s revisit this thought, and instead of looking at the example of basketball why not consider the example of rugby.
If you were to bet on the next rugby team to win the championship, it would probability be based on the following:
- the probability of the next team to score a try, given the circumstances
- the probability of a team winning a try given the circumstances
- the probability of a team winning by the correct score margin, given the circumstances
Now the situation is simple if you are betting on a team to win the championship. You are simply picking the team whose odds are nearest to the worth of your prediction. In other words, given the circumstances. If you were to bet on a team to win the championship, for every try that the team makes, you win one. Easy.
But what about the other bets in betting? Not so simple. The reason why betting has gotten so complex is mainly due to the fact that you now have more than one alternative. Previously, betting had been simple, but not so when combined with the additional alternatives available.
There are many other types of bets available in many sports betting markets. In US sports betting, the most common is the over under bet. The bet is not progressive, meaning that the bettor has to get his bet to return a profit. The bettor simply makes a prediction of the score of the game, the final margin of victory, and the total number of scored points.
Each point spread bet, on the other hand, is associated with a specific kind of bettor. The odds and the lines giving birth to the bet are normally incomplete, resulting in a money loss for the bettor if it loses. However, as an option, almost all sportsbooks offer these types of bets as an option.
What about field goal bet? For this option, the sports bettor is actually betting against the spread. He is not deferring to the outcome of the game as is the case in the previous one. The field goal bettor is actually challenging the sportsbooks on this one to get a more accurate prediction as to the outcome of the game.
With both options, the sports bettor has to be extremely accurate in his predictions in order to win at the end of the day. It is a simple logic but a twofold process to decide upon the bet. Take the time to go through each option available to you and seriously considerlawsuit if any of them sound amiable or agreeable to you.